The dilemma of power demand (Financial Express)

Mains Paper 3:Economy 
Prelims level:Electricity distribution companies
Mains level: Factors related to aggregate demand projection in power sectors

Context:

• The reduction in power demand during the Covid-19 lockdown explains that the demand of power depends largely on the level of socioeconomic activities. 
• Meeting the full demand would be a function of available generation, access to load centre and also the health of electricity distribution companies (discoms). 

Background:

• India had a total generating capacity of about 368 gigawatts (GW) as on January 2020, whereas the maximum peak demand reached so far was around 183GW. 
• The renewable energy capacity has also doubled over the last five yearsto become almost 23% of the installed capacity of utilities.
• Even though electricity generated from renewable energy sources is still only 9%, due to the low capacity utilisation factor (CUF) of about 14-15%.

CLICK HERE FOR FULL EDITORIAL (Only for Course Members)

Power purchase agreements:

• The current extent of flexibilisation in conventional thermal plants cannot efficiently make up for variability induced by must-run renewable energy plants. 
• As a result, discoms have done more power purchase agreements (PPAs) than required, and now end up paying excess fixed charges. The problem has further been compounded by the current downside in consumption and peak load due to the lockdown. 
• The comparison of peaks of certain dates shows that the peak load was growing compared to the previous year demand, but started to reduce from the day of the Janta Curfew.

Factors related to aggregate demand projection:

• The system of aggregate demand projection has not been robust in the country. 
• The aggregate power demand is directly connected with the growth rate of the gross domestic product (GDP). 
• The GDP growth rate of 8-10% was used in demand projection of the 18th Electric Power Survey (EPS; 2012-17) and, consequently, actual demand remained much below the projected one. 
• Income elasticity of electricity demand is found higher in the relatively less-developed eastern region, leading to higher growth in electricity demand with increasing income. 
• Relatively slower growth in electricity demand has been observed in developed states, i.e. industrialised states, although in absolute value they are quite high.
• The impact of Covid-19 on power demand would be better understood once the lockdown is lifted. 
• If industrial activities in developed states suffer from reverse migration of workforce, and the public consumption does not pick up in developing states due to deprivation of domestic remittance, then it may affect demand adversely. 
• It would, therefore, be desirable to hasten industrial production in developed states and ensure adequate income to strengthen consumption in developing states.
• Demand estimates of 19th EPS (2017-22) also face great challenges and may go haywire in the wake of global slowdown and Covid-19. 
• Energy-efficiency schemes such as solarisation of agri-pumps, Perform, Achieve and Trade (PAT) for designated industries, LED bulb campaign, and the Standards and Labelling programme (Star rating) are likely to reduce electricity demand on the grid.

Giving tax concession: 

• Tax concession for establishing MSMEs in identified pockets can enhance demand as well as remove regional inequality and create local employment. 
• The Covid-19 crisis should be leveraged as an opportunity for introducing tariff reforms. 
• Rationalisation of industrial and commercial tariff; reducing cross-subsidy regime in coal, railways and power sector; introduction of demand-linked tariff slabs; preferential tariff to energy-intensive industries; introduction of time and type of use tariff; and incentivising electric vehicles through lower tariffs can boost power demand and resolve the dilemma.

Way forward:

• Post-2014, India added more than 100GW capacity in three years. 
• With surplus installed capacity, India needs to accelerate electric cooking, electric mobility and electrification of railways. 
• We must search new opportunities of cost-effective storage technology, diversified usages and overseas trade of electricity to utilise full capacity.

CLICK HERE FOR FULL EDITORIAL (Only for Course Members)

Online Coaching for UPSC PRE Exam

General Studies Pre. Cum Mains Study Materials

Prelims Questions:

Q.1)With reference to the Rural Postal Life Insurance (RPLI), consider the following statements:
1. Rural Postal Life Insurance (RPLI) started pursuant to the recommendation of the Official Committee for Reforms in the Insurance Sector (Malhotra Committee) submitted in 1993.
2. Labour migrating overseas are not eligible for a policy.

Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
(a) 1 only
(b) 2 only
(c) Both 1 and 2
(d) Neither 1 nor 2

Answer..................

CLICK HERE FOR FULL EDITORIAL (Only for Course Members)

Mains Questions:
Q.1)What are the factors related to aggregate demand projection in power sector consumption?