Unclear doctrine: On ‘No First Use’
nuclear policy (The Hindu)
Mains Paper 2: International Relations
Prelims level: Not much
Mains level: India’s nuclear policy and its adoption process.
Context
- Defence Minister Rajnath Singh has been somewhat careful in
speaking of envisioning a change in India’s nuclear deterrence posture.
Background
- In place for 16 years, since January 4, 2003, when the doctrine
was adopted formally, New Delhi has said consistently that India’s nuclear
weapons were based on staggering and punitive retaliation, in case
deterrence failed.
- The retaliation to a nuclear strike, any nuclear strike, whether
by tactical or theatre weapons or something bigger, would be crushing enough
to deter the possible use of nuclear weapons by an adversary.
- On the first death anniversary of former Prime Minister A.B.
Vajpayee, and in the nuclear proving ground in Pokhran, the Minister said
two things:
1. The no-first-use has served India well so far, and
2. That what happens in future depends on circumstances.
Security a dynamic concept
- It was the security environment in the neighbourhood coupled with
the pressure brought by the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty that
forced India out of the nuclear closet and, at the same time, to adopt the
no-first-use posture.
- The structures associated with the doctrine, the command and
control that can survive a nuclear strike, the redundancies that are
in-built, the secure communications, have all been developed keeping in view
the posture perspective.
Way forward
- In a nuclear circumstance it is much better to convey the
overwhelming nature of the deterrence than to keep the potential adversary
guessing.
- In this respect it is a good idea for the government to make
public any periodic review in its strategic posture.
- The no-first-use policy comes with being a confident nuclear
power. For him to state the future is open is to say nothing and at once
imply everything.
- In matters of nuclear doctrine, it is important to be clear above
all else. Nothing must be left to interpretation.